What could go wrong? Beware the ides of February, technical analysts say.
An interesting post on Value.com notes that historically February has had more than its share of stock market corrections.
That’s especially true in a post-election year.
“Since 1950, the month of February is one of the weakest months of the year for the S&P 500, gaining just 0.03% on average and rising only 55% of the time. Looking only at post-election years, the S&P 500 loses 1.8% on average in February, making it the weakest month of the year.”
Meanwhile, in my view, investors are surprisingly ho-hum about the stock market’s future direction, despite the strong gains of late.
Bespoke Investment Group points out the latest bullish sentiment reading of 35.8% tracked by The American Association of Individual Investors.
That’s the 110th straight week that bulls have been in the minority and below 50%, according to Bespoke.
- Xavier Brenner has covered global market, business and economic trends for Interactive Brokers Asset Management since 2013. An experienced financial journalist, Brenner offers analysis and insights on the stories that matter to the discerning investor.